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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

Central Park Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Phoenix

Tract 04013103612 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,155 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 04013103612 covers part of the Central Park Village area of Phoenix, AZ, and scores 3.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,155 residents. Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 71% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 48% Stable renters 20% Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units2,664
Renter share67.6%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate3.7%
Median income$54,345

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Central Park Village
Very Low
Within parent city
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#226 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Moderate
Within county
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#421 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Elevated
Within state
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#756 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.6300, -112.0758 · click any tract to drill in

Why Central Park Village scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
3.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,502 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Central Park Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Central Park Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.73.7This tracttract 103612Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 38

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,621Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 30.21%Avg annual filing rate
  • 33.9%Peak (2004)
  • 285Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131036122001: 320 filings (29.66/100 renter HHs)2002: 341 filings (31.60/100 renter HHs)2003: 309 filings (28.64/100 renter HHs)2004: 366 filings (33.92/100 renter HHs)2005: 285 filings (27.25/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Central Park Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Central Park Village

Severe burden reaches 34%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $54,345, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

68% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,621 filings here across 5 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2004, when 33.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 30.2% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #54,273 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.4/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013103612

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013103612?

Census tract 04013103612 in the Central Park Village neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013103612?

Median gross rent is $1,502/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013103612?

3.7% of residents in tract 04013103612 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,155.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013103612?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 9th, minority 46th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 04013103612 considered part of Central Park Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013103612 fall within Central Park Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013103612?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,621 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013103612 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 30.21% of renter households, peaking at 33.9% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013103612 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013103612 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013103612 scores 3.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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