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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Centura West Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Tract 04013112512 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 660 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 04013112512 covers part of the Centura West area of Phoenix, AZ, and scores 5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 660. 58% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 17% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units255
Renter share48.2%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate46.0%
Median income$42,656

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Centura West
Very High
Within parent city
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#49 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
High
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#94 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#165 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.4478, -112.1750 · click any tract to drill in

Why Centura West scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
46.0% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,652 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Centura West compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Centura West risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 112512Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 809Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 39.52%Avg annual filing rate
  • 19.3%Peak (2005)
  • 197Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131125122001: 166 filings (48.37/100 renter HHs)2002: 180 filings (52.44/100 renter HHs)2003: 116 filings (33.80/100 renter HHs)2004: 150 filings (43.70/100 renter HHs)2005: 197 filings (19.27/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 19% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Centura West. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Centura West

Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 65% of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 46%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Set annual rent against average income of $42,656 and the ratio lands at 46%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 24.9% against 11.3% nationally. It sits 1.3 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7.

The filing record is not thin: 809 evictions over 5 years of observation. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2005, when 19.3% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 39.5% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013112512

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013112512?

Census tract 04013112512 in the Centura West neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013112512?

Median gross rent is $1,652/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013112512?

46.0% of residents in tract 04013112512 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 660.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013112512?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 98th, minority 86th, housing 30th.
Q5

Is tract 04013112512 considered part of Centura West?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013112512 fall within Centura West (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013112512?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 809 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013112512 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 39.52% of renter households, peaking at 19.3% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013112512 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013112512 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013112512 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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