Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Rancho Hermoso Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix
Tract 04013113601 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,911 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
04013113601 is a census tract in the Rancho Hermoso area of Phoenix, AZ. It scores 5/10 for landlords. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 47%
Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units1,555
Renter share77.1%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate22.7%
Median income$55,592
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Phoenix and the region
Centroid at 33.4620, -111.9990 · click any tract to drill in
Why Rancho Hermoso scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
22.7% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,376 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0
How Rancho Hermoso compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 53%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,107Total filings over 5 yrs
- 47.20%Avg annual filing rate
- 65.9%Peak (2002)
- 223Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 44% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Rancho Hermoso. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.5%Housing insecurity
- 12.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 32.4%Food insecurity
- 23.7%SNAP enrollment
- 16.5%Transit barriers
- 25.6%No health insurance
- 19.9%Frequent mental distress
- 35.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Rancho Hermoso
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. This is renter territory: 77% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Food insecurity runs 32.4% against 17.8% nationally. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.1/10.
Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 40% of renters here are cost-burdened.
The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. SNAP participation runs 23.7% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 1,107 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
At $1,376 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Phoenix commands.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013113601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013113601?
Census tract 04013113601 in the Rancho Hermoso neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013113601?
Median gross rent is $1,376/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013113601?
22.7% of residents in tract 04013113601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,911.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013113601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 53th, minority 87th, housing 94th.
Q5
Is tract 04013113601 considered part of Rancho Hermoso?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013113601 fall within Rancho Hermoso (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013113601?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,107 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013113601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 47.20% of renter households, peaking at 65.9% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013113601 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013113601 compare to Phoenix overall?
Tract 04013113601 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix
Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
North Garfield
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Alhambra
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013114302
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
South Phoenix
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Melrose District
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013106001
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
County Fair West
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Garfield
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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