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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

Rancho Hermoso Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Tract 04013113601 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,911 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 04013113601 belongs to the Rancho Hermoso area of Phoenix, Arizona. It is home to 4,911 residents and scores 5.3/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 40% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,376 a month while the average household earns $55,592 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 77% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 47% Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units1,555
Renter share77.1%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate22.7%
Median income$55,592

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Rancho Hermoso
Low
Within parent city
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#73 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
High
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#96 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#262 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.4620, -111.9990 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rancho Hermoso scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
22.7% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,376 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Rancho Hermoso compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rancho Hermoso risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 113601Phoenix: 2.82.8Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,107Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 47.20%Avg annual filing rate
  • 65.9%Peak (2002)
  • 223Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131136012001: 155 filings (37.41/100 renter HHs)2002: 273 filings (65.89/100 renter HHs)2003: 219 filings (52.86/100 renter HHs)2004: 237 filings (57.20/100 renter HHs)2005: 223 filings (22.65/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 44% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Rancho Hermoso. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rancho Hermoso

What moves this score most is economic stress at 5.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 23.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013113601

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013113601?

Census tract 04013113601 in the Rancho Hermoso neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013113601?

Median gross rent is $1,376/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013113601?

22.7% of residents in tract 04013113601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,911.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013113601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 53th, minority 87th, housing 94th.
Q5

Is tract 04013113601 considered part of Rancho Hermoso?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013113601 fall within Rancho Hermoso (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013113601?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,107 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013113601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 47.20% of renter households, peaking at 65.9% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013113601 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013113601 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013113601 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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