Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Cimarron Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix
Tract 04013116204 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,409 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
04013116204 is a census tract in the Cimarron area of Phoenix, AZ. It scores 5/10 for landlords. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,275
Renter share35.5%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate22.6%
Median income$61,203
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Phoenix and the region
Centroid at 33.4000, -111.9869 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cimarron scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
22.6% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$1,449 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0
How Cimarron compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 54%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 198Total filings over 5 yrs
- 14.67%Avg annual filing rate
- 22.8%Peak (2004)
- 43Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 39% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Cimarron. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.5%Housing insecurity
- 11.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 30.1%Food insecurity
- 22.0%SNAP enrollment
- 14.7%Transit barriers
- 24.3%No health insurance
- 17.5%Frequent mental distress
- 35.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cimarron
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. 35% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.
Adults with no health insurance runs 24.3% against 11.3% nationally. Food insecurity runs 30.1% against 17.8% nationally.
Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 198 evictions over 5 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2004, when 22.8% of renter households were served. At $1,449 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of Phoenix commands.
In a typical year about 14.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013116204
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013116204?
Census tract 04013116204 in the Cimarron neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013116204?
Median gross rent is $1,449/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013116204?
22.6% of residents in tract 04013116204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,409.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013116204?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 36th, minority 83th, housing 54th.
Q5
Is tract 04013116204 considered part of Cimarron?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013116204 fall within Cimarron (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013116204?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 198 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013116204 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.67% of renter households, peaking at 22.8% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013116204 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013116204 compare to Phoenix overall?
Tract 04013116204 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix
Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
South Phoenix
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Park Phoenix
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
El Camino Dr.
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Maryvale Terrace
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Garfield
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Thunderbird Valley Number Two
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013107002
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013114401
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Related