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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

El Sereno-La Rosa Trailer Inn Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Tract 04013111501 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,148 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 04013111501 covers part of the El Sereno-La Rosa Trailer Inn area of Phoenix, AZ, and scores 5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,148 residents. Average gross rent is $943, 40% below the Phoenix average.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 39% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units704
Renter share62.2%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate16.3%
Median income$42,813

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In El Sereno-La Rosa Trailer Inn
Very High
Within parent city
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Very High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#86 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#165 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.4685, -112.0257 · click any tract to drill in

Why El Sereno-La Rosa Trailer Inn scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
16.3% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$943 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How El Sereno-La Rosa Trailer Inn compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
El Sereno-La Rosa Trailer Inn risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 111501Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 219Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 13.22%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.3%Peak (2005)
  • 52Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131115012001: 38 filings (11.34/100 renter HHs)2002: 33 filings (9.85/100 renter HHs)2003: 47 filings (14.03/100 renter HHs)2004: 49 filings (14.63/100 renter HHs)2005: 52 filings (16.25/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 37% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within El Sereno-La Rosa Trailer Inn. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in El Sereno-La Rosa Trailer Inn

Adults with no health insurance runs 32.8% against 11.3% nationally. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.

The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

38% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. SNAP participation runs 25.8% against 15.2% nationally.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 219 filings here across 5 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2005, when 16.3% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 13.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 61st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013111501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013111501?

Census tract 04013111501 in the El Sereno-La Rosa Trailer Inn neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013111501?

Median gross rent is $943/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013111501?

16.3% of residents in tract 04013111501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,148.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013111501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 42th, minority 82th, housing 73th.
Q5

Is tract 04013111501 considered part of El Sereno-La Rosa Trailer Inn?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013111501 fall within El Sereno-La Rosa Trailer Inn (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013111501?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 219 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013111501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.22% of renter households, peaking at 16.3% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013111501 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013111501 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013111501 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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