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Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

Santa Maria Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Tract 04013112515 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,594 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 04013112515 covers part of the Santa Maria area of Phoenix, AZ, and scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,594. around a third of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 27% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,315
Renter share39.2%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate11.5%
Median income$68,338

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Santa Maria
Very Low
Within parent city
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#184 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Moderate
Within county
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#314 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Elevated
Within state
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#559 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.4155, -112.1953 · click any tract to drill in

Why Santa Maria scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
11.5% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,433 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Santa Maria compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Santa Maria risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.24.2This tracttract 112515Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Santa Maria. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Santa Maria

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. 23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Adults with no health insurance runs 24.6% against 11.3% nationally. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10.

Food insecurity runs 26.8% against 17.8% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,433, 9% below the Phoenix average. On the national scale it lands near the 46th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $68,338.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013112515

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013112515?

Census tract 04013112515 in the Santa Maria neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013112515?

Median gross rent is $1,433/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013112515?

11.5% of residents in tract 04013112515 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,594.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013112515?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 39th, minority 87th, housing 30th.
Q5

Is tract 04013112515 considered part of Santa Maria?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013112515 fall within Santa Maria (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013112515 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013112515 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013112515 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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