Within parent city
91
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Phoenix Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04013114401 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 1,687
Census tract 04013114401 covers part of Phoenix, AZ, and scores 5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,687. 86% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 1%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units524
Renter share22.1%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate38.3%
Median income$44,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
National
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Phoenix and the region
Centroid at 33.4440, -112.1128 · click any tract to drill in
Why Phoenix scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
38.3% poverty · this tract
9.6
Supply constraint
$1,194 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0
How Phoenix compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 57%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 3%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 130Total filings over 5 yrs
- 10.19%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.3%Peak (2001)
- 24Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 45% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 34.2%Housing insecurity
- 20.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 51.5%Food insecurity
- 43.4%SNAP enrollment
- 24.5%Transit barriers
- 42.0%No health insurance
- 19.6%Frequent mental distress
- 48.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Phoenix
Cost burden runs 95% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.6/10. The poverty rate is 38%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Housing insecurity runs 34.2% against 14.2% nationally. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.
Disability prevalence runs 48.8% against 31.5% nationally. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $44,250, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
At $1,194 a month, rents run 25% under what the rest of Phoenix commands. It sits 1.3 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7.
The filing record is not thin: 130 evictions over 5 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2001, when 17.3% of renter households were served.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013114401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013114401?
Census tract 04013114401 in Phoenix scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013114401?
Median gross rent is $1,194/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 95% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013114401?
38.3% of residents in tract 04013114401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,687.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013114401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 82th, minority 94th, housing 57th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013114401?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 130 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013114401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.19% of renter households, peaking at 17.3% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04013114401 struggle to pay rent?
About 34.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04013114401 compare to Phoenix overall?
Tract 04013114401 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 04013114401 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix
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