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Census Tract · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Phoenix Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04013116735 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,137

Census tract 04013116735 covers part of Phoenix, AZ, and scores 5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,137. The severe-burden share is 51%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 9% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,060
Renter share41.1%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate19.4%
Median income$56,392

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#73 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
High
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#142 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#165 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
National
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#32,842 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.3669, -112.0746 · click any tract to drill in

Why Phoenix scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
19.4% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,241 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Phoenix compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Phoenix risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 116735Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Phoenix

Cost burden runs about three-quarters here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.4/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 25.2% against 11.3% nationally.

At $1,241 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Phoenix commands. It sits 1.3 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7.

The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Housing insecurity runs 21.6% against 14.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.3/10. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $56,392.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013116735

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013116735?

Census tract 04013116735 in Phoenix scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013116735?

Median gross rent is $1,241/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013116735?

19.4% of residents in tract 04013116735 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,137.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013116735?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 81th, minority 87th, housing 86th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 04013116735 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 04013116735 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013116735 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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