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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Shadow Canyon Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Tract 04013618400 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,687 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 5/10, tract 04013618400 in the Shadow Canyon area of Phoenix, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 16% Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,587
Renter share33.5%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate28.7%
Median income$58,309

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Shadow Canyon
Very High
Within parent city
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#31 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Very High
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#151 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#165 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.6510, -112.1245 · click any tract to drill in

Why Shadow Canyon scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
28.7% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$1,609 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Shadow Canyon compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Shadow Canyon risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 618400Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 224Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 10.80%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.8%Peak (2005)
  • 56Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040136184002001: 51 filings (13.11/100 renter HHs)2002: 37 filings (9.51/100 renter HHs)2003: 48 filings (12.34/100 renter HHs)2004: 32 filings (8.23/100 renter HHs)2005: 56 filings (10.79/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Shadow Canyon. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Shadow Canyon

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. 23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Set annual rent against average income of $58,309 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10.

Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 52% of renters here are cost-burdened. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 224 filings here across 5 tracked years. Food insecurity runs 25.4% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 22.5% against 15.2% nationally. Filings peaked in 2005 at 10.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 10.8% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #32,842 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013618400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013618400?

Census tract 04013618400 in the Shadow Canyon neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013618400?

Median gross rent is $1,609/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013618400?

28.7% of residents in tract 04013618400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,687.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013618400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 31th, minority 67th, housing 49th.
Q5

Is tract 04013618400 considered part of Shadow Canyon?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013618400 fall within Shadow Canyon (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013618400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 224 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013618400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.80% of renter households, peaking at 10.8% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013618400 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013618400 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013618400 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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