Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Shadow Canyon Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix
Tract 04013618600 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,352 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 04013618600 covers part of the Shadow Canyon area of Phoenix, AZ, and scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. 65% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,838
Renter share44.1%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate10.6%
Median income$62,305
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Phoenix and the region
Centroid at 33.6473, -112.1073 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shadow Canyon scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
10.6% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,471 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0
How Shadow Canyon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 51%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 91%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 435Total filings over 5 yrs
- 15.08%Avg annual filing rate
- 19.1%Peak (2004)
- 79Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Shadow Canyon. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.0%Housing insecurity
- 7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.5%Food insecurity
- 12.9%SNAP enrollment
- 9.5%Transit barriers
- 12.9%No health insurance
- 16.8%Frequent mental distress
- 30.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shadow Canyon
Severe burden reaches 28%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 435 evictions over 5 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2004 at 19.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 15.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #45,786 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 8.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely. Average gross rent is $1,471, close to the Phoenix average.
Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $62,305. 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013618600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013618600?
Census tract 04013618600 in the Shadow Canyon neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013618600?
Median gross rent is $1,471/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013618600?
10.6% of residents in tract 04013618600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,352.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013618600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 51th, minority 60th, housing 91th.
Q5
Is tract 04013618600 considered part of Shadow Canyon?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013618600 fall within Shadow Canyon (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013618600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 435 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013618600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.08% of renter households, peaking at 19.1% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013618600 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013618600 compare to Phoenix overall?
Tract 04013618600 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix
Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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South Phoenix
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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5
/ 10 · Moderate
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North Garfield
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Alhambra
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013114301
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
South Phoenix
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
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5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013106001
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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