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Neighborhood · Phoenix, AZ

Shadow Canyon Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 8,039 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.6/10 · range 4.2–5

Shadow Canyon is a 2-tract neighborhood of Phoenix, AZ, population 8,039. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.6/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 59% against 31.0% citywide, putting Shadow Canyon 28.0% over its own city.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. 25% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

The poverty rate is 19%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Filings are well documented here: 659 across 2 observed tracts. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.9/10.

Filing activity peaked in 2005 at 19.1% of renter households. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10.

Among the 113 mapped neighborhoods of Phoenix, it ranks #25 by risk, the upper third. Judgments average 6.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Its 2 tracts score within 0.8 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

With little internal variation, 4.6/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Shadow Canyon vs Phoenix How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
59.0% +90%
Phoenix: 31.0%
Average gross rent
$1,534 -3%
Phoenix: $1,582
Average HH income
$60,472 -22%
Phoenix: $77,041
Poverty rate
18.9% +32%
Phoenix: 14.3%
Renter share
39.2% -8%
Phoenix: 42.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Shadow Canyon and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.2–5

Why Shadow Canyon scores 4.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
59% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
39% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
18.9% below poverty line · Range 2.7–7.2 across tracts
4.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.5–3.3 across tracts
2.9
Risk score comparison

Shadow Canyon vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Shadow Canyon score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Shadow Canyon: 4.64.6Shadow CanyonNeighborhoodParent city: 3.63.6Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Shadow Canyon

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013618400 5 3,687 52% $1,609
04013618600 4.2 4,352 65% $1,471
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 76

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 80%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 42%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 63%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 72%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Shadow Canyon

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 659Total filings (sum)
  • 13.12%Avg annual filing rate
  • 19.1%Peak year (2005)
  • 13.16%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Shadow Canyon

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Shadow Canyon

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Shadow Canyon?

Shadow Canyon scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Shadow Canyon compare to Phoenix overall?

Shadow Canyon scores 1.0 points higher than Phoenix overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,534 vs $1,582.
Q3

What is the average rent in Shadow Canyon?

Average gross rent in Shadow Canyon is $1,534/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Shadow Canyon residents are renters?

39% of Shadow Canyon households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Phoenix). The neighborhood has 8,039 residents.
Q5

Is Shadow Canyon a high social-vulnerability area?

Shadow Canyon sits in the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Shadow Canyon have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Shadow Canyon is census tract 04013618400 (score 5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.2 to 5, a spread of 0.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Shadow Canyon for landlords?

Shadow Canyon carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Phoenix as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Shadow Canyon?

Shadow Canyon has 8,928 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (55.1%), Hispanic / Latino (34.5%), Other / Multiracial (5.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Shadow Canyon

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Phoenix

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Shadow Canyon.

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