Vista del Cerro Eviction Risk: Lower , Phoenix

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Food insecurity runs 5.6% against 17.8% nationally. Court records carry 17 eviction filings across 5 observed years.

Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2004, when 11.3% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 7.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 4% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 1.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.