Phoenix Eviction Risk: Moderate

Average gross rent is $909, 43% below the Phoenix average. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. 88% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. Housing insecurity runs 32.9% against 14.2% nationally. Set annual rent against average income of $31,484 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 188 filings here across 5 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2005, when 9.0% of renter households were served.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.