Arapaho Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Surprise
Tract 04013061028 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,866 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 04013061028 covers the Arapaho Village area of Surprise, home to 2,866 residents. For landlords it grades $1/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 40% of US census tracts.
About 54% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,794 monthly, set against $74,438 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 63% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Surprise and the region
Centroid at 33.6345, -112.3676 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arapaho Village scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Arapaho Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 84%Household composition
- 30%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 136Total filings over 3 yrs
- 808.92%Avg annual filing rate
- 124.3%Peak (2005)
- 77Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.3%Housing insecurity
- 6.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.9%Food insecurity
- 10.8%SNAP enrollment
- 8.4%Transit barriers
- 11.6%No health insurance
- 16.0%Frequent mental distress
- 31.5%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Arapaho Village
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 4.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Surprise eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 04013061028
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061028?
What is the average rent in tract 04013061028?
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061028?
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061028?
Is tract 04013061028 considered part of Arapaho Village?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013061028?
What share of households in tract 04013061028 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 04013061028 compare to Surprise overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Surprise
Top eight tracts in Surprise ranked by composite eviction-risk score.