Neighborhood · Ranked #50,269 of 84,120 nationally

Arapaho Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Surprise

Tract 04013061028 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,866 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 04013061028 sits in the Arapaho Village neighborhood of Surprise, Arizona. It has a population of 2,866 and an eviction-risk score of 5.0/10 (Moderate tier). 54% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 23% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,794/month against a median household income of $74,438 — roughly 29% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score

5.0

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 29% Owners 37%

Tract context

Occupied units1,212

Renter share62.7%

SVI overall0.79

Poverty rate13.0%

Median income$74,438

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Surprise and the region

Centroid at 33.6345, -112.3676 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arapaho Village scores 5.0

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Surprise

2.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

13.0% poverty · this tract

3.2

Supply constraint

$1,794 rent vs county FMR

4.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Surprise

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Surprise

1.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Surprise

2.0

How Arapaho Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

61%Socioeconomic
84%Household composition
30%Racial/ethnic minority
92%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

136Total filings over 3 yrs
808.92%Avg annual filing rate
124.3%Peak (2005)
77Filings in 2005 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2001 — 2005

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.3%Housing insecurity
6.6%Utility-shutoff threat
14.9%Food insecurity
10.8%SNAP enrollment
8.4%Transit barriers
11.6%No health insurance
16.0%Frequent mental distress
31.5%Any disability

Frequently asked

About tract 04013061028

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061028?

Census tract 04013061028 in the Arapaho Village neighborhood scores 5.0/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013061028?

Median gross rent is $1,794/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061028?

13.0% of residents in tract 04013061028 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,866.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061028?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 84th, minority 30th, housing 92th.

Is tract 04013061028 considered part of Arapaho Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061028 fall within Arapaho Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013061028?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 136 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 04013061028 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 808.92% of renter households, peaking at 124.3% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 04013061028 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013061028 compare to Surprise overall?

Tract 04013061028 scores 5.0/10 — higher than the parent city of Surprise at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Surprise eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Surprise

Top eight tracts in Surprise ranked by composite eviction-risk score.