Surprise Original Townsite Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 04013061029 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,110 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
How risky is Surprise Original Townsite in Surprise for landlords? Census tract 04013061029 scores 4.9/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 37% of US census tracts.
About 68% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,627 a month while the average household earns $72,047 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 42% of occupied homes.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Surprise and the region
Centroid at 33.6312, -112.3507 · click any tract to drill in
Why Surprise Original Townsite scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Surprise Original Townsite compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 62
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 51%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 126Total filings over 5 yrs
- 69.96%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.6%Peak (2005)
- 56Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Surprise Original Townsite. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.6%Housing insecurity
- 6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.2%Food insecurity
- 10.5%SNAP enrollment
- 7.9%Transit barriers
- 11.0%No health insurance
- 15.2%Frequent mental distress
- 32.4%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Surprise Original Townsite
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 3.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Surprise eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 04013061029
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061029?
What is the average rent in tract 04013061029?
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061029?
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061029?
Is tract 04013061029 considered part of Surprise Original Townsite?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013061029?
What share of households in tract 04013061029 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 04013061029 compare to Surprise overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Surprise
Top eight tracts in Surprise ranked by composite eviction-risk score.