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Neighborhood · Ranked #58,384 of 84,120 nationally

Veramonte Eviction Risk: Lower , Surprise

Tract 04013061038 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,984 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

The Veramonte neighborhood of Surprise anchors census tract 04013061038, which lands at $1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 40th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 41% of renter households, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,084 a month against an average household income of $101,940 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 20% Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,494
Renter share33.8%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate19.2%
Median income$101,940

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Veramonte
Very High
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 29 tracts In Surprise
High
Within county
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#511 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Moderate
Within state
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#1,080 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Surprise and the region

Centroid at 33.5877, -112.3850 · click any tract to drill in

Why Veramonte scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Surprise
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
19.2% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$2,084 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Surprise
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Surprise
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Surprise
2.0

How Veramonte compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Veramonte risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 061038Surprise: 2.42.4Surpriseparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 62

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 15Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 410.41%Avg annual filing rate
  • 58.2%Peak (2005)
  • 11Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040130610382001: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2002: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2004: 4 filings (762.67/100 renter HHs)2005: 11 filings (58.15/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Veramonte. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Veramonte

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 5.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Surprise eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 13.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013061038

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061038?

Census tract 04013061038 in the Veramonte neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013061038?

Median gross rent is $2,084/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061038?

19.2% of residents in tract 04013061038 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,984.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061038?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 88th, minority 66th, housing 29th.
Q5

Is tract 04013061038 considered part of Veramonte?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061038 fall within Veramonte (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013061038?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 15 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 04013061038 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 410.41% of renter households, peaking at 58.2% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013061038 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013061038 compare to Surprise overall?

Tract 04013061038 scores 3/10, higher than the parent city of Surprise at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Surprise eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Surprise

Top eight tracts in Surprise ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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