Neighborhood · Ranked #44,188 of 84,120 nationally

Surprise Original Townsite Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04013060801 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,922 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 04013060801 sits in the Surprise Original Townsite neighborhood of Surprise, Arizona. It has a population of 5,922 and an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). 54% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 10% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $975/month against a median household income of $52,674 — roughly 22% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score

5.2

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 16% Owners 65%

Tract context

Occupied units2,030

Renter share34.9%

SVI overall0.98

Poverty rate24.2%

Median income$52,674

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Surprise and the region

Centroid at 33.6319, -112.3316 · click any tract to drill in

Why Surprise Original Townsite scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Surprise

2.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

24.2% poverty · this tract

6.0

Supply constraint

$975 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Surprise

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Surprise

1.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Surprise

2.0

How Surprise Original Townsite compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

96%Socioeconomic
87%Household composition
81%Racial/ethnic minority
98%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

183Total filings over 5 yrs
5.66%Avg annual filing rate
6.8%Peak (2003)
39Filings in 2005 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2001 — 2005

Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Surprise Original Townsite. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

20.4%Housing insecurity
11.5%Utility-shutoff threat
29.9%Food insecurity
22.9%SNAP enrollment
14.4%Transit barriers
25.7%No health insurance
16.6%Frequent mental distress
39.5%Any disability

Frequently asked

About tract 04013060801

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013060801?

Census tract 04013060801 in the Surprise Original Townsite neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013060801?

Median gross rent is $975/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013060801?

24.2% of residents in tract 04013060801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,922.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013060801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 87th, minority 81th, housing 98th.

Is tract 04013060801 considered part of Surprise Original Townsite?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013060801 fall within Surprise Original Townsite (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013060801?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 183 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013060801 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.66% of renter households, peaking at 6.8% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 04013060801 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.5% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013060801 compare to Surprise overall?

Tract 04013060801 scores 5.2/10 — higher than the parent city of Surprise at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Surprise eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Surprise

Top eight tracts in Surprise ranked by composite eviction-risk score.