1 census tracts · pop 2,866 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.7/10
· range 3.7–3.7
Arapaho Village maps to a single census tract in Surprise, AZ and houses 2,866 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.7/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Against a Surprise baseline of 32.2%, 54% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. 23% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 1.5/10.
Running cool is housing-court posture, at 2/10. The filing record is not thin: 136 evictions logged in this tract.
Average gross rent is $1,794, 12% below the Surprise average of $2,033. The worst year on record was 2005, when filings touched 124.3% of renter households. Among the 16 mapped neighborhoods of Surprise, it ranks #2 by risk, the upper third.
Judgments average 439.9% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. For a like-for-like read, Arizona Traditions and Surprise Original Townsite score within a fraction of it.
Social vulnerability runs high at 8.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $74,438. 63% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.7/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Arapaho Village vs SurpriseHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority30%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport92%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Arapaho Village
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
136Total filings (sum)
808.92%Avg annual filing rate
124.3%Peak year (2005)
124.32%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Arapaho Village
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
11.3%Housing insecurity
6.6%Utility shutoff threat
14.9%Food insecurity
10.8%SNAP enrollment
11.6%No health insurance
31.5%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Arapaho Village
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Arapaho Village?
Arapaho Village scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Arapaho Village compare to Surprise overall?
Arapaho Village scores 0.5 points higher than Surprise overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,794 vs $2,033.
Q3
What is the average rent in Arapaho Village?
Average gross rent in Arapaho Village is $1,794/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Arapaho Village residents are renters?
63% of Arapaho Village households are renter-occupied (vs 21% in Surprise). The neighborhood has 2,866 residents.
Q5
Is Arapaho Village a high social-vulnerability area?
Arapaho Village sits in the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Arapaho Village for landlords?
Arapaho Village carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Surprise as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Arapaho Village?
Arapaho Village has 3,054 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (69.4%), Hispanic / Latino (24.4%), Other / Multiracial (3.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
