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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Sanalina Eviction Risk: Lower , Surprise

Tract 04013061033 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,387 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 04013061033 sits in the Sanalina area of Surprise eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 5,387. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 13% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units2,062
Renter share22.0%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate10.1%
Median income$91,288

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Sanalina
Very High
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 29 tracts In Surprise
Very Low
Within county
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#610 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Surprise and the region

Centroid at 33.6118, -112.3840 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sanalina scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Surprise
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
10.1% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,776 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Surprise
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Surprise
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Surprise
2.0

How Sanalina compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sanalina risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 061033Surprise: 3.23.2Surpriseparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 104Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 97.27%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.7%Peak (2005)
  • 44Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040130610332001: 2 filings (15.89/100 renter HHs)2002: 12 filings (95.33/100 renter HHs)2003: 16 filings (127.11/100 renter HHs)2004: 30 filings (238.33/100 renter HHs)2005: 44 filings (9.69/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 2,100% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Sanalina. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sanalina

The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.

Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10. 41% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Maricopa County average of 46.0%. Court records carry 104 eviction filings across 5 observed years.

Average gross rent is $1,776, 13% below the Surprise average. It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7.

The worst year on record was 2005, when 9.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 97.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $91,288.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013061033

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061033?

Census tract 04013061033 in the Sanalina neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013061033?

Median gross rent is $1,776/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061033?

10.1% of residents in tract 04013061033 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,387.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061033?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 51th, minority 53th, housing 33th.
Q5

Is tract 04013061033 considered part of Sanalina?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061033 fall within Sanalina (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013061033?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 104 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013061033 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 97.27% of renter households, peaking at 9.7% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013061033 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013061033 compare to Surprise overall?

Tract 04013061033 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Surprise at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Surprise eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Surprise

Top eight tracts in Surprise ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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