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Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally

Taos Eviction Risk: Lower , Surprise

Tract 04013040528 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,970 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

With a score of 4.3/10, tract 04013040528 in Taos in Surprise ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 5,970 residents. That is riskier than about 19% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 28% of renter households, a moderate level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,105 monthly, set against $78,658 in average yearly household income, roughly 32% of income at the averages. Renters make up 8% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 6% Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units3,387
Renter share7.7%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate8.3%
Median income$78,658

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Taos
Moderate
Within parent city
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 29 tracts In Surprise
Elevated
Within county
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#619 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#1,243 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Surprise and the region

Centroid at 33.6527, -112.4037 · click any tract to drill in

Why Taos scores 2.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Surprise
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
8.3% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$2,105 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Surprise
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Surprise
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Surprise
2.0

How Taos compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Taos risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.62.6This tracttract 040528Surprise: 2.42.4Surpriseparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 7

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 0.86%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.9%Peak (2005)
  • 1Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040130405282001: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2002: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2004: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2005: 1 filings (0.86/100 renter HHs)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Taos

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 5.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Surprise eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and below the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 7th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 0.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 0.9% of renter households in 2005.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013040528

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013040528?

Census tract 04013040528 in the Taos neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013040528?

Median gross rent is $2,105/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013040528?

8.3% of residents in tract 04013040528 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,970.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013040528?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 15th, minority 12th, housing 7th.
Q5

Is tract 04013040528 considered part of Taos?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013040528 fall within Taos (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013040528?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 04013040528 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.86% of renter households, peaking at 0.9% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013040528 struggle to pay rent?

About 2.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 1.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013040528 compare to Surprise overall?

Tract 04013040528 scores 2.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Surprise at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Surprise eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Surprise

Top eight tracts in Surprise ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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