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Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

McClintock Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tempe

Tract 04013319402 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,051 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

04013319402 is a census tract in the McClintock Manor area of Tempe, AZ. It scores 4/10 for landlords. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 13% Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,724
Renter share23.9%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate9.1%
Median income$89,183

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In McClintock Manor
High
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#28 of 41 tracts In Tempe
Low
Within county
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#351 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Elevated
Within state
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#627 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tempe and the region

Centroid at 33.3858, -111.9004 · click any tract to drill in

Why McClintock Manor scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tempe
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
9.1% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,987 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tempe
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tempe
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tempe
4.5

How McClintock Manor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
McClintock Manor risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.04.0This tracttract 319402Tempe: 4.24.2Tempeparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 12

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 202Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 11.97%Avg annual filing rate
  • 19.4%Peak (2002)
  • 26Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040133194022001: 56 filings (16.18/100 renter HHs)2002: 67 filings (19.35/100 renter HHs)2003: 25 filings (7.22/100 renter HHs)2004: 28 filings (8.09/100 renter HHs)2005: 26 filings (9.02/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 54% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within McClintock Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in McClintock Manor

18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10.

SNAP participation runs 5.3% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 8.4% against 17.8% nationally.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 202 filings here across 5 tracked years. Average gross rent is $1,987, 14% above the Tempe average. The worst year on record was 2002, when 19.4% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 12.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 24% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 2.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. 47% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013319402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013319402?

Census tract 04013319402 in the McClintock Manor neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013319402?

Median gross rent is $1,987/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013319402?

9.1% of residents in tract 04013319402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,051.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013319402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 18th, minority 49th, housing 12th.
Q5

Is tract 04013319402 considered part of McClintock Manor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013319402 fall within McClintock Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013319402?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 202 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013319402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.97% of renter households, peaking at 19.4% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013319402 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013319402 compare to Tempe overall?

Tract 04013319402 scores 4/10, right in line with the parent city of Tempe at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tempe eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tempe

Top eight tracts in Tempe ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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