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Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally

McClintock Manor Eviction Risk: Lower , Tempe

Tract 04013319404 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,368 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

04013319404 is a census tract in the McClintock Manor area of Tempe, AZ. It scores 3.5/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 40%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 16% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,607
Renter share39.1%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$100,129

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In McClintock Manor
Very Low
Within parent city
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#33 of 41 tracts In Tempe
Low
Within county
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#467 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Moderate
Within state
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#847 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tempe and the region

Centroid at 33.3943, -111.8867 · click any tract to drill in

Why McClintock Manor scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tempe
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tempe
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tempe
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tempe
4.5

How McClintock Manor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
McClintock Manor risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.53.5This tracttract 319404Tempe: 4.24.2Tempeparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 52

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 49Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 2.08%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.0%Peak (2003)
  • 3Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040133194042001: 12 filings (2.59/100 renter HHs)2002: 12 filings (2.59/100 renter HHs)2003: 14 filings (3.02/100 renter HHs)2004: 8 filings (1.72/100 renter HHs)2005: 3 filings (0.50/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 75% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within McClintock Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in McClintock Manor

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10. Average gross rent is $3,501, 101% above the Tempe average.

The voucher gap is 79.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Annualized rent equals 42% of average household income of $100,129, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Cost burden runs 58% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.7/10. Food insecurity runs 6.4% against 17.8% nationally.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 49 filings here across 5 tracked years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2003, when 3.0% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 2.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013319404

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013319404?

Census tract 04013319404 in the McClintock Manor neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013319404?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013319404?

6.7% of residents in tract 04013319404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,368.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013319404?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 65th, minority 43th, housing 93th.
Q5

Is tract 04013319404 considered part of McClintock Manor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013319404 fall within McClintock Manor (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013319404?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 49 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013319404 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.08% of renter households, peaking at 3.0% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013319404 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013319404 compare to Tempe overall?

Tract 04013319404 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Tempe at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tempe eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tempe

Top eight tracts in Tempe ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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