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Census Tract · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally

Tucson Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 04019004046 · Pima, AZ · pop 4,691

Tract 04019004046 sits in Tucson eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.3/10. It is home to 4,691 residents. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 25% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units2,210
Renter share46.8%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate10.2%
Median income$79,524

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#117 of 143 tracts In Tucson
Very Low
Within county
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#152 of 270 tracts In Pima
Moderate
Within state
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#944 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
National
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#61,558 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tucson and the region

Centroid at 32.2430, -110.8151 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tucson scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
10.2% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,097 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5

How Tucson compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tucson risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.33.3This tracttract 004046Tucson: 3.83.8Tucsonparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,258Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 10.83%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.5%Peak (2005)
  • 64Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040190040462004: 169 filings (20.39/100 renter HHs)2005: 179 filings (17.45/100 renter HHs)2006: 131 filings (12.77/100 renter HHs)2007: 110 filings (10.72/100 renter HHs)2008: 86 filings (8.38/100 renter HHs)2009: 80 filings (7.80/100 renter HHs)2010: 100 filings (10.66/100 renter HHs)2011: 80 filings (8.43/100 renter HHs)2012: 92 filings (9.69/100 renter HHs)2013: 113 filings (11.91/100 renter HHs)2016: 54 filings (5.36/100 renter HHs)2017: 64 filings (6.35/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 62% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tucson

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10.

Court records carry 1,258 eviction filings across 12 observed years. SNAP participation runs 7.7% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 10.6% against 17.8% nationally.

Against the Pima County average of 3.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.6 points. Filings peaked in 2005 at 17.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 10.8% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 27th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019004046

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004046?

Census tract 04019004046 in Tucson scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019004046?

Median gross rent is $1,097/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004046?

10.2% of residents in tract 04019004046 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,691.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004046?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 48th, minority 49th, housing 44th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004046?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,258 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004046 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.83% of renter households, peaking at 17.5% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 04019004046 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04019004046 compare to Tucson overall?

Tract 04019004046 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tucson

Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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