Within parent city
18
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Tucson Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 04019004055 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,460 · 70% of tract blocks fall in Tucson
04019004055 is a census tract in Tucson, AZ. It scores 3.2/10 for landlords. 21% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Pima County average of 43.8%.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,631
Renter share36.2%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$78,819
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
44
th percentile
Moderate
National
25
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2541, -110.7816 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tucson scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,372 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Tucson compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 23
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 28%Socioeconomic
- 53%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 10%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 480Total filings over 12 yrs
- 7.62%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.6%Peak (2009)
- 32Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.4%Housing insecurity
- 4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.9%Food insecurity
- 5.5%SNAP enrollment
- 5.4%Transit barriers
- 6.6%No health insurance
- 14.0%Frequent mental distress
- 29.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tucson
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Average gross rent is $1,372, 20% above the Tucson average.
The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. SNAP participation runs 5.5% against 15.2% nationally.
Court records carry 480 eviction filings across 12 observed years. Housing insecurity runs 6.4% against 14.2% nationally.
It sits 0.7 points below the Pima County average of 3.9. The worst year on record was 2009, when 9.6% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 7.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 25th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004055
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004055?
Census tract 04019004055 in Tucson scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004055?
Median gross rent is $1,372/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004055?
9.2% of residents in tract 04019004055 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,460.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004055?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 53th, minority 54th, housing 10th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004055?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 480 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004055 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.62% of renter households, peaking at 9.6% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04019004055 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04019004055 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019004055 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
West University
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019003801
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Flowing Wells
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Samos
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Miramonte
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019004117
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Rincon Heights
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019003901
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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