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Tucson Mountains, Arizona eviction risk overview
City brief · 11,353 residents

Tucson Mountains, AZ Eviction Risk: MODERATE

Pima County · Population 11,353

In 2026
Risk score
5.1
MODERATE

88th percentile, Arizona.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 — 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.4 Average3.0 Now5.1
10 5 1976 · score 1.4 1977 · score 1.4 1978 · score 1.5 1979 · score 1.6 1980 · score 1.7 1981 · score 1.8 1982 · score 1.8 1983 · score 1.7 1984 · score 1.7 1985 · score 1.8 1986 · score 1.8 1987 · score 1.8 1988 · score 1.8 1989 · score 1.8 1990 · score 1.9 1991 · score 1.9 1992 · score 2.2 1993 · score 2.3 1994 · score 2.3 1995 · score 2.3 1996 · score 2.5 1997 · score 2.5 1998 · score 2.6 1999 · score 2.7 2000 · score 3.1 2001 · score 3.1 2002 · score 3.2 2003 · score 3.2 2004 · score 3.1 2005 · score 3.1 2006 · score 3.2 2007 · score 3.2 2008 · score 3.4 2009 · score 3.5 2010 · score 3.6 2011 · score 3.7 2012 · score 3.6 2013 · score 3.7 2014 · score 3.8 2015 · score 3.9 2016 · score 4.0 2017 · score 4.1 2018 · score 4.4 2019 · score 4.6 2020 · score 5.2 2021 · score 5.3 2022 · score 5.3 2023 · score 5.3 2024 · score 4.7 2025 · score 5.1 2026 · score 5.1

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 4.7 Regional 4.7 State 2.2 Economic 4.4 Supply 5.1 Rent Control 9.4 Eviction 1.9 Tenant 2.0 Housing 7.0 5.1 MODERATE
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +15.2% (2024)
    4.7
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    4.7
  3. State political climate
    Arizona legislature & governorship
    2.2
  4. Economic stress
    8.4% poverty · 2.2% unemp.
    4.4
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,450 average · 3.8% renters
    5.1
  6. Rent Control risk
    51.0% of income on rent
    9.4
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    41 days filing → judgment
    1.9
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    3.8% renters
    2.0
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    7.0
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tucson Mountains and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Tucson Mountains compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Pima County
Moderate
#23 of 49 cities
Rank in county — 54th percentileBottomTop
#23 of 49 cities in Pima County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Arizona
High
#60 of 464 cities
Rank in state — 87th percentileBottomTop
#60 of 464 cities in Arizona for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Tucson Mountains risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Tucson Mountains: 5.15.1Tucson MountainsThis cityCounty: 4.84.8Countyavg in countyState: 4.04.0Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 5.1
    / 10 · MODERATE
    The verdict

    A Moderate-tier market.

    Composite 5.1/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+3.7 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 41d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,450/mo. A contested eviction takes 41 days and costs $1,896–$3,904 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 3.8%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 11,353 residents, 3.8% rent. 51% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 8.4% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 4.7
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 4.7 and 4.7 (Dem margin +15.2% (2024)). State climate at 2.2 — mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 2.2
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 2.2/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies — and shows up in process. Eviction process difficulty reads 1.9, housing court bias 7.0, rent-control risk 9.4. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-3.1 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 4.4
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 4.4. Supply constraint: 5.1. The numbers behind those: 8.4% poverty, 2.2% unemployment, 51% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Tucson Mountains sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Tucson, AZ · 43d · ~$3.3k all-in ($78/day) · score 4.6 Tucson Casas Adobes, AZ · 42d · ~$3.1k all-in ($74/day) · score 5.3 Casas Adobes Marana, AZ · 39d · ~$3.2k all-in ($83/day) · score 4.7 Marana Catalina Foothills, AZ · 36d · ~$3.4k all-in ($95/day) · score 4.8 Catalina Foothills Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.7 Phoenix Mesa, AZ · 38d · ~$3.1k all-in ($82/day) · score 3.1 Mesa Gilbert, AZ · 37d · ~$3.6k all-in ($97/day) · score 2.4 Gilbert Chandler, AZ · 40d · ~$3.1k all-in ($78/day) · score 2.7 Chandler Glendale, AZ · 42d · ~$3.0k all-in ($72/day) · score 3.6 Glendale Scottsdale, AZ · 37d · ~$3.3k all-in ($88/day) · score 2.4 Scottsdale Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 3.4 Houston Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.2 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 4.9 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 8.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.8 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 7.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 8.2 Seattle Tucson Mountains
Tucson Mountains · 41d · ~$2.9k all-in ($71/day) · score 5.1 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Tucson Mountains, AZ

Landlording in Tucson Mountains, Arizona, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.1/10 (MODERATE tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above — covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Tucson Mountains is a city of 11,353 residents where 3.8% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 51.0% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,450/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing — a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Tucson Mountains eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 1.9/10 — a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Tucson Mountains closes 41 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Tucson Mountains's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 7.0/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Tucson Mountains runs $1,896 to $3,904 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice — common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 41 days of typical timeline and $1,450/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 2.0/10 in Tucson Mountains, and the city sits at the top of the rent control risk spectrum (9.4/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5–3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks — but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Arizona, deposit cap and refund window are statute — exceed at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Tucson Mountains: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a MODERATE tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one — retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Arizona's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $3,904 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Tucson Mountains

Trap · 7.0/10
For landlords, the 5.1/10 score is most actionable when combined with Pinal County's specific court behavior. Housing-court bias sub-score: 7.0/10. Use proactive screening and documented notices.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant for no reason in Tucson Mountains?

Arizona law does not require "just cause" for eviction in most cases, particularly if the lease term has expired or if there's a lease violation. However, you must still provide proper notice, typically a 30-day notice for a no-cause termination if the lease allows, or a 5-day notice for non-payment or other material lease breaches. Always follow the specific notice requirements.

Q2

What if my tenant claims the property is uninhabitable?

If a tenant raises habitability issues as a defense, you need to be able to show you addressed maintenance requests promptly. Keep detailed records of all repair requests, dates, and actions taken. If you ignored legitimate issues, a judge might side with the tenant, delaying or even dismissing your eviction case. Always prioritize property maintenance.

Q3

How long do I have to return a security deposit in Tucson Mountains?

You have 14 business days from when the tenant moves out and returns possession of the unit to return their security deposit, along with an itemized list of any deductions. Failing to meet this deadline can result in penalties, including the tenant being awarded double the amount wrongfully withheld.

Q4

Can I charge late fees on rent?

Yes, you can charge late fees, but they must be clearly stated in your lease agreement and be reasonable. Arizona law does not specify a maximum late fee amount, but courts generally consider excessive fees unenforceable. Make sure your lease outlines when rent is considered late and the specific fee.

Q5

Do I need a lawyer for every eviction?

Not necessarily. For straightforward non-payment cases where the tenant doesn't appear or present a complex defense, many landlords handle it themselves. However, if the tenant hires an attorney, raises significant defenses, or you feel unsure about the process, hiring your own attorney is highly recommended to protect your interests and avoid costly mistakes. The cost of a good attorney is often less than the cost of a botched eviction.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 5.1/10 places Tucson Mountains in the 88th percentile of Arizona cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1–10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976 — a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.