Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Amphitheater Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson
Tract 04019004511 · Pima, AZ · pop 4,402 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 5.2/10, tract 04019004511 in the Amphitheater area of Tucson, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,402. Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units2,079
Renter share61.3%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate20.7%
Median income$48,656
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2797, -110.9669 · click any tract to drill in
Why Amphitheater scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
20.7% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$1,052 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Amphitheater compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,045Total filings over 12 yrs
- 13.91%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.5%Peak (2005)
- 140Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 44% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Amphitheater. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.8%Housing insecurity
- 10.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.4%Food insecurity
- 15.3%SNAP enrollment
- 11.2%Transit barriers
- 14.6%No health insurance
- 18.6%Frequent mental distress
- 35.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Amphitheater
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
It sits 1.3 points above the Pima County average of 3.9. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10.
The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,045 filings here across 12 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2005, when 23.5% of renter households were served.
At $1,052 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of Tucson commands. In a typical year about 13.9% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.6/10.
Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
44% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004511
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004511?
Census tract 04019004511 in the Amphitheater neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004511?
Median gross rent is $1,052/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004511?
20.7% of residents in tract 04019004511 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,402.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004511?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 95th, minority 73th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 04019004511 considered part of Amphitheater?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019004511 fall within Amphitheater (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004511?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,045 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004511 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.91% of renter households, peaking at 23.5% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04019004511 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04019004511 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019004511 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04019004035
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Keeling
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Poet's Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Dunbar Spring
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Emery Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Amphitheater
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Palo Verde
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Amphitheater
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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