Amphitheater Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson
Tract 04019004508 · Pima, AZ · pop 4,645 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
With a score of 5.2/10, tract 04019004508 in the Amphitheater area of Tucson, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 39%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2849, -110.9857 · click any tract to drill in
Why Amphitheater scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Amphitheater compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,579Total filings over 12 yrs
- 16.35%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.0%Peak (2006)
- 88Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Amphitheater. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.5%Housing insecurity
- 10.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.4%Food insecurity
- 17.7%SNAP enrollment
- 11.7%Transit barriers
- 17.9%No health insurance
- 17.3%Frequent mental distress
- 42.9%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Amphitheater
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Cost burden runs 53% here against 43.8% across Pima County.
Against the Pima County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
The filing record is not thin: 1,579 evictions over 12 years of observation. Average gross rent is $991, 13% below the Tucson average. Filings peaked in 2006 at 23.0% of renter households.
In a typical year about 16.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $38,479. 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 04019004508
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004508?
What is the average rent in tract 04019004508?
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004508?
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004508?
Is tract 04019004508 considered part of Amphitheater?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004508?
What share of households in tract 04019004508 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 04019004508 compare to Tucson overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.