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Neighborhood · Tucson, AZ

Amphitheater Eviction Risk: Elevated

4 census tracts · pop 18,031 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.0/10 · range 5.7–6.3

Amphitheater is a hispanic-white neighborhood in Tucson with 4 census tracts and a population of 18,031 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.0/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 55% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 29% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Median gross rent of $938/month sits 18% lower than the Tucson citywide median ($1,145).

Risk score
6.0
Elevated
4 tracts · population-weighted
Amphitheater vs Tucson How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
55.0% +68%
Tucson: 32.8%
Average gross rent
$938 -18%
Tucson: $1,145
Average HH income
$37,230 -32%
Tucson: $54,546
Poverty rate
26.7% +42%
Tucson: 18.8%
Renter share
60.8% +26%
Tucson: 48.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Amphitheater and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 5.7–6.3

Why Amphitheater scores 6.0

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
55% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
61% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
26.7% below poverty line · Range 5.0–9.4 across tracts
6.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.1–2.7 across tracts
1.9
Risk score comparison

Amphitheater vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Amphitheater score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Amphitheater: 6.06.0AmphitheaterNeighborhoodParent city: 4.64.6Parent cityhost cityState: 4.04.0Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Amphitheater?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square — click to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.6 points from 5.7 to 6.3. Tracts are relatively uniform — conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Amphitheater

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04019002604 6.3 3,895 58% $831
04019002602 6.1 5,089 64% $874
04019004508 5.8 4,645 53% $991
04019004511 5.7 4,402 44% $1,052
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 98

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 92%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 87%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 74%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 97%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Amphitheater

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 8,767Total filings (sum)
  • 15.66%Avg annual filing rate
  • 39.7%Peak year (2013)
  • 12.73%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Amphitheater

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Amphitheater

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Amphitheater?

Amphitheater scores 6.0/10 (Elevated tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does Amphitheater compare to Tucson overall?

Amphitheater scores 1.4 points higher than Tucson overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Median rent: $938 vs $1,145.

Q3

What is the average rent in Amphitheater?

Median gross rent in Amphitheater is $938/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of Amphitheater residents are renters?

61% of Amphitheater households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Tucson). The neighborhood has 18,031 residents.

Q5

Is Amphitheater a high social-vulnerability area?

Amphitheater sits in the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

Which tracts in Amphitheater have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Amphitheater is census tract 04019002604 (score 6.3/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.7 to 6.3 — a spread of 0.6 points.

Q7

How safe is Amphitheater for landlords?

Amphitheater carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.0/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tucson as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Amphitheater?

Amphitheater has 17,076 residents (Hispanic-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (48.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (36.2%), Other / Multiracial (6.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Amphitheater

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tucson

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Amphitheater.

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