4 census tracts · pop 18,031 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10
· range 5.2–5.2
Amphitheater is a 4-tract neighborhood of Tucson, AZ, population 18,031. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.2/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 55% against 32.8% citywide, putting Amphitheater 22.2% over its own city.
Severe burden reaches 29%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.
The poverty rate is 27%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1.9/10. At $938 a month, rents sit 18% under what the rest of Tucson commands.
Filings are well documented here: 8,767 across 4 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 39.7% of renter households.
The most recent observed rate, 12.8% in 2017, is well off that peak. Among the 32 mapped neighborhoods of Tucson, it ranks #2 by risk, the upper third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Barrio Blue Moon and Barrio Histórico District.
Social vulnerability runs high at 9.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. The 4 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes.
Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $37,230.
The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Amphitheater vs TucsonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority74%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport97%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Amphitheater
Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
8,767Total filings (sum)
15.66%Avg annual filing rate
39.7%Peak year (2013)
12.73%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Amphitheater
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
17.4%Housing insecurity
13.1%Utility shutoff threat
24.8%Food insecurity
21.9%SNAP enrollment
17.0%No health insurance
39.7%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Amphitheater
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Amphitheater?
Amphitheater scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Amphitheater compare to Tucson overall?
Amphitheater scores 1.4 points higher than Tucson overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $938 vs $1,145.
Q3
What is the average rent in Amphitheater?
Average gross rent in Amphitheater is $938/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Amphitheater residents are renters?
61% of Amphitheater households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Tucson). The neighborhood has 18,031 residents.
Q5
Is Amphitheater a high social-vulnerability area?
Amphitheater sits in the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Amphitheater have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Amphitheater is census tract 04019002602 (score 5.2/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.2 to 5.2, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Amphitheater for landlords?
Amphitheater carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tucson as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Amphitheater?
Amphitheater has 17,076 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (48.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (36.2%), Other / Multiracial (6.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
