Amphitheater Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.4/10. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Set annual rent against average income of $31,654 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

Average gross rent is $874, 24% below the Tucson average. Against the Pima County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,149 filings here across 12 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2013, when 14.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 10.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.