Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Barrio Hollywood Eviction Risk: Lower , Tucson
Tract 04019004415 · Pima, AZ · pop 1,468 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
04019004415 is a census tract in the Barrio Hollywood area of Tucson, AZ. It scores 3.8/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,468. The severe-burden share is 42%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units741
Renter share25.1%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate12.3%
Median income$69,531
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
31
th percentile
Low
Within county
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2196, -111.0068 · click any tract to drill in
Why Barrio Hollywood scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
12.3% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,192 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Barrio Hollywood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 57
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 64%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 22%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 73Total filings over 12 yrs
- 2.59%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.7%Peak (2007)
- 3Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Barrio Hollywood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.5%Housing insecurity
- 7.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.8%Food insecurity
- 10.8%SNAP enrollment
- 8.4%Transit barriers
- 13.4%No health insurance
- 14.6%Frequent mental distress
- 33.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Barrio Hollywood
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Court records carry 73 eviction filings across 12 observed years. Cost burden runs 48% here against 43.8% across Pima County.
Filings peaked in 2007 at 5.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 38th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Pima County average of 3.9 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,192, close to the Tucson average. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $69,531.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004415
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004415?
Census tract 04019004415 in the Barrio Hollywood neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004415?
Median gross rent is $1,192/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004415?
12.3% of residents in tract 04019004415 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,468.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004415?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 73th, minority 73th, housing 22th.
Q5
Is tract 04019004415 considered part of Barrio Hollywood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019004415 fall within Barrio Hollywood (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004415?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 73 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004415 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.59% of renter households, peaking at 5.7% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04019004415 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04019004415 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019004415 scores 3.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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Poet's Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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Dunbar Spring
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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Emery Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Twelve Hundred River Condominums
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019004035
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Keeling
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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Palo Verde
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019004112
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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