Within parent city
92
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Tucson Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04019002201 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,217
With a score of 5.2/10, tract 04019002201 in Tucson, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,217. Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,281
Renter share49.9%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate26.6%
Median income$49,398
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
National
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.1728, -110.9532 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tucson scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
26.6% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$996 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Tucson compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 92
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 95%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 557Total filings over 12 yrs
- 12.18%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.2%Peak (2013)
- 51Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.2%Housing insecurity
- 12.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.1%Food insecurity
- 20.2%SNAP enrollment
- 14.1%Transit barriers
- 25.8%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 41.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tucson
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
Adults with no health insurance runs 25.8% against 11.3% nationally. The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Cost burden runs 35% here against 43.8% across Pima County.
Against the Pima County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Food insecurity runs 28.1% against 17.8% nationally.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 557 filings here across 12 tracked years. At $996 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Tucson commands.
Filings peaked in 2013 at 12.2% of renter households.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019002201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019002201?
Census tract 04019002201 in Tucson scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019002201?
Median gross rent is $996/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019002201?
26.6% of residents in tract 04019002201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,217.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019002201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 99th, minority 91th, housing 95th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019002201?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 557 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019002201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.18% of renter households, peaking at 12.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04019002201 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04019002201 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019002201 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04019004115
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
West University
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Amphitheater
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Palo Verde
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Samos
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Samos
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Miramonte
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Pie Allen
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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