Within parent city
92
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Tucson Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04019003901 · Pima, AZ · pop 2,001
04019003901 is a census tract in Tucson, AZ. It scores 5.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,001. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units589
Renter share19.4%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate23.2%
Median income$50,458
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
National
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.1550, -110.9860 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tucson scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
23.2% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$995 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Tucson compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 100%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 112Total filings over 12 yrs
- 6.99%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.6%Peak (2017)
- 20Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 400% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.1%Housing insecurity
- 15.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.9%Food insecurity
- 27.0%SNAP enrollment
- 17.4%Transit barriers
- 29.9%No health insurance
- 18.0%Frequent mental distress
- 46.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tucson
Adults with no health insurance runs 29.9% against 11.3% nationally. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
Against Pima County at 43.8%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 1.3 points above the Pima County average of 3.9.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Housing insecurity runs 24.1% against 14.2% nationally.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 112 filings here across 12 tracked years. Average gross rent is $995, 13% below the Tucson average. Filings peaked in 2017 at 13.6% of renter households.
In a typical year about 7.0% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019003901
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019003901?
Census tract 04019003901 in Tucson scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019003901?
Median gross rent is $995/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019003901?
23.2% of residents in tract 04019003901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,001.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019003901?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 100th, minority 97th, housing 38th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019003901?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 112 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019003901 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.99% of renter households, peaking at 13.6% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04019003901 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04019003901 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019003901 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04019004407
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019002400
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Vandenberg Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019002503
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Barrio Blue Moon
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019002504
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019003505
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Miracle Manor
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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