Within parent city
76
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Tucson Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04019002202 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,290
With a score of 5.2/10, tract 04019002202 in Tucson, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,290. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,195
Renter share42.2%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate32.6%
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
National
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.1927, -110.9519 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tucson scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
32.6% poverty · this tract
8.2
Supply constraint
$999 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Tucson compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 87%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 75%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 413Total filings over 12 yrs
- 7.25%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.9%Peak (2010)
- 36Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 33% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.5%Housing insecurity
- 15.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 31.4%Food insecurity
- 24.8%SNAP enrollment
- 16.4%Transit barriers
- 24.9%No health insurance
- 18.6%Frequent mental distress
- 41.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tucson
The poverty rate is 33%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. 20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Food insecurity runs 31.4% against 17.8% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 24.9% against 11.3% nationally.
Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 8.2/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Pima County average of 3.9. Against Pima County at 43.8%, 38% of renters here are cost-burdened.
The filing record is not thin: 413 evictions over 12 years of observation. At $999 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Tucson commands. Filings peaked in 2010 at 8.9% of renter households.
In a typical year about 7.2% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019002202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019002202?
Census tract 04019002202 in Tucson scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019002202?
Median gross rent is $999/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019002202?
32.6% of residents in tract 04019002202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,290.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019002202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 87th, minority 89th, housing 75th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019002202?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 413 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019002202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.25% of renter households, peaking at 8.9% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04019002202 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04019002202 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019002202 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Palo Verde
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Broadway Northeast
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019002201
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019002400
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Vandenberg Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019004407
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019002503
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019002504
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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