Within parent city
71
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Tucson Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04019002400 · Pima, AZ · pop 4,767
04019002400 is a census tract in Tucson, AZ. It scores 5.2/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,767 residents. Severe burden reaches 34%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,843
Renter share48.1%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate31.5%
Median income$40,446
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
National
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.1780, -110.9687 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tucson scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
31.5% poverty · this tract
7.9
Supply constraint
$914 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Tucson compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 100
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 100%Household composition
- 92%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 852Total filings over 12 yrs
- 7.81%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.7%Peak (2013)
- 85Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 60% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.6%Housing insecurity
- 16.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 35.5%Food insecurity
- 28.0%SNAP enrollment
- 17.9%Transit barriers
- 30.1%No health insurance
- 18.4%Frequent mental distress
- 46.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tucson
Adults with no health insurance runs 30.1% against 11.3% nationally. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.
Food insecurity runs 35.5% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 32%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.7/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Pima County average of 3.9.
Average gross rent is $914, 20% below the Tucson average. roughly one in two of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Pima County average of 43.8%. Court records carry 852 eviction filings across 12 observed years.
Filings peaked in 2013 at 10.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 7.8% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 10/10.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019002400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019002400?
Census tract 04019002400 in Tucson scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019002400?
Median gross rent is $914/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019002400?
31.5% of residents in tract 04019002400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,767.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019002400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 100th, minority 92th, housing 98th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019002400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 852 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019002400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.81% of renter households, peaking at 10.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04019002400 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04019002400 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019002400 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Palo Verde Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Keeling
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Emery Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019004432
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
El Cortez
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Vandenberg Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Amphitheater
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Poet's Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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