Vandenberg Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson
Tract 04019004033 · Pima, AZ · pop 4,128 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 04019004033 covers part of the Vandenberg Village area of Tucson, AZ, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,128. 39% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.1883, -110.8494 · click any tract to drill in
Why Vandenberg Village scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Vandenberg Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 79%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,218Total filings over 12 yrs
- 19.97%Avg annual filing rate
- 33.4%Peak (2007)
- 106Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Vandenberg Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.6%Housing insecurity
- 13.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.0%Food insecurity
- 23.0%SNAP enrollment
- 14.6%Transit barriers
- 16.5%No health insurance
- 21.1%Frequent mental distress
- 40.9%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Vandenberg Village
62% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Pima County average of 43.8%. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.
Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $33,638, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.7/10. The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 1.3 points above the Pima County average of 3.9.
At $922 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Tucson commands. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,218 filings here across 12 tracked years.
Food insecurity runs 26.0% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 23.0% against 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2007, when 33.4% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 20.0% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 04019004033
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004033?
What is the average rent in tract 04019004033?
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004033?
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004033?
Is tract 04019004033 considered part of Vandenberg Village?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004033?
What share of households in tract 04019004033 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 04019004033 compare to Tucson overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.