Within parent city
63
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Tucson Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04019004112 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,285 · 9% of tract blocks fall in Tucson
04019004112 is a census tract in Tucson, AZ. It scores 5.2/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,285 residents. Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units918
Renter share33.0%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate26.5%
Median income$58,429
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
National
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.1460, -110.8999 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tucson scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
26.5% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$970 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Tucson compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 85%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 66%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 287Total filings over 12 yrs
- 13.61%Avg annual filing rate
- 31.5%Peak (2004)
- 11Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 76% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.8%Housing insecurity
- 13.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 29.1%Food insecurity
- 22.6%SNAP enrollment
- 14.8%Transit barriers
- 24.2%No health insurance
- 18.1%Frequent mental distress
- 41.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tucson
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.1/10. Against the Pima County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.
Food insecurity runs 29.1% against 17.8% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 287 filings here across 12 tracked years. Average gross rent is $970, 15% below the Tucson average.
SNAP participation runs 22.6% against 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2004, when 31.5% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 13.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004112
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004112?
Census tract 04019004112 in Tucson scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004112?
Median gross rent is $970/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004112?
26.5% of residents in tract 04019004112 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,285.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004112?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 85th, minority 89th, housing 66th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004112?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 287 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004112 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.61% of renter households, peaking at 31.5% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04019004112 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04019004112 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019004112 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Keeling
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Poet's Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Dunbar Spring
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Emery Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Twelve Hundred River Condominums
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019004035
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Amphitheater
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Palo Verde
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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