Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally
Vactor Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , Tucson
Tract 04019004031 · Pima, AZ · pop 4,040 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 3.3/10, tract 04019004031 in the Vactor Ranch area of Tucson, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,040. Severe burden reaches 28%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units2,134
Renter share38.0%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$74,253
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
20
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2569, -110.8325 · click any tract to drill in
Why Vactor Ranch scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,279 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Vactor Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 55%Socioeconomic
- 49%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,355Total filings over 12 yrs
- 14.36%Avg annual filing rate
- 22.2%Peak (2007)
- 58Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 43% over the past 12 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.3%Housing insecurity
- 5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.5%Food insecurity
- 7.5%SNAP enrollment
- 6.4%Transit barriers
- 7.7%No health insurance
- 14.3%Frequent mental distress
- 33.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Vactor Ranch
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. Cost burden runs 55% here against 43.8% across Pima County. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 1,355 evictions over 12 years of observation.
Food insecurity runs 9.5% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 7.5% against 15.2% nationally.
Average gross rent is $1,279, 12% above the Tucson average. It sits 0.6 points below the Pima County average of 3.9.
Filings peaked in 2007 at 22.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 14.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 27th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004031
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004031?
Census tract 04019004031 in the Vactor Ranch neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004031?
Median gross rent is $1,279/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004031?
9.2% of residents in tract 04019004031 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,040.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004031?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 49th, minority 44th, housing 25th.
Q5
Is tract 04019004031 considered part of Vactor Ranch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019004031 fall within Vactor Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004031?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,355 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004031 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.36% of renter households, peaking at 22.2% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04019004031 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04019004031 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019004031 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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Barrio Blue Moon
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019002504
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019003505
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Miracle Manor
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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Palo Verde Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019003506
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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