Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

Los Portales Eviction Risk: Moderate , Casa Grande

Tract 04021001307 · Pinal, AZ · pop 4,451 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 04021001307 covers part of the Los Portales area of Casa Grande, AZ, and scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,451 residents. Severe burden reaches 31%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

4.2

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 14% Owners 75%

Tract context

Occupied units2,232

Renter share24.6%

SVI overall0.61

Poverty rate9.7%

Median income$68,254

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Casa Grande and the region

Centroid at 32.9088, -111.7741 · click any tract to drill in

Why Los Portales scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Casa Grande

4.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

9.7% poverty · this tract

2.4

Supply constraint

$1,381 rent vs county FMR

2.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Casa Grande

7.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Casa Grande

6.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Casa Grande

6.8

How Los Portales compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

57%Socioeconomic
56%Household composition
62%Racial/ethnic minority
59%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.5%Housing insecurity
6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
14.8%Food insecurity
9.4%SNAP enrollment
7.5%Transit barriers
13.2%No health insurance
14.6%Frequent mental distress
35.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Los Portales

The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 2/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.1/10.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10. 43% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Pinal County average of 37.6%.

Nationally it ranks #45,786 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 25% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 6.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

It tracks the Pinal County average of 3.8 closely. Average gross rent is $1,381, close to the Casa Grande average. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $68,254.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04021001307

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021001307?

Census tract 04021001307 in the Los Portales neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04021001307?

Median gross rent is $1,381/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04021001307?

9.7% of residents in tract 04021001307 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,451.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04021001307?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 56th, minority 62th, housing 59th.

Is tract 04021001307 considered part of Los Portales?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04021001307 fall within Los Portales (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04021001307 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04021001307 compare to Casa Grande overall?

Tract 04021001307 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Casa Grande at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Casa Grande eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Casa Grande

Top eight tracts in Casa Grande ranked by composite eviction-risk score.