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Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Casa Grande Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04021001500 · Pinal, AZ · pop 3,479 · 83% of tract blocks fall in Casa Grande

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 04021001500 in Casa Grande, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,479. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 20% Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units1,120
Renter share27.1%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate31.1%
Median income$44,706

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 15 tracts In Casa Grande
Elevated
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 95 tracts In Pinal
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#37 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,859 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Casa Grande and the region

Centroid at 32.8663, -111.7810 · click any tract to drill in

Why Casa Grande scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Casa Grande
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
31.1% poverty · this tract
7.8
Supply constraint
$875 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Casa Grande
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Casa Grande
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Casa Grande
6.8

How Casa Grande compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Casa Grande risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 001500Casa Grande: 4.04.0Casa Grandeparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Casa Grande

At $875 a month, rents run 37% under what the rest of Casa Grande commands. Against Pinal County at 37.6%, about a quarter of renters here are cost-burdened.

SNAP participation runs 32.2% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 31%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Disability prevalence runs 45.9% against 31.5% nationally. Against the Pinal County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Severe burden reaches 8%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9/10. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $44,706. 27% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04021001500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021001500?

Census tract 04021001500 in Casa Grande scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04021001500?

Median gross rent is $875/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04021001500?

31.1% of residents in tract 04021001500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,479.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04021001500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 95th, minority 81th, housing 70th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 04021001500 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 04021001500 compare to Casa Grande overall?

Tract 04021001500 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Casa Grande at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Casa Grande eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Casa Grande

Top eight tracts in Casa Grande ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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