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Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Casa Grande Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04021001406 · Pinal, AZ · pop 5,414 · 90% of tract blocks fall in Casa Grande

Tract 04021001406 sits in Casa Grande eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. Population here is 5,414. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.1/10.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 32% Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,726
Renter share58.3%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate26.3%
Median income$53,831

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#5 of 15 tracts In Casa Grande
Elevated
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 95 tracts In Pinal
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#37 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,859 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Casa Grande and the region

Centroid at 32.8554, -111.7413 · click any tract to drill in

Why Casa Grande scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Casa Grande
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
26.3% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$1,186 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Casa Grande
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Casa Grande
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Casa Grande
6.8

How Casa Grande compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Casa Grande risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 001406Casa Grande: 4.04.0Casa Grandeparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Casa Grande

Against the Pinal County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10.

Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Cost burden runs 46% here against 37.6% across Pinal County. Food insecurity runs 30.7% against 17.8% nationally. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10.

Average gross rent is $1,186, 14% below the Casa Grande average. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.8/10. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04021001406

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021001406?

Census tract 04021001406 in Casa Grande scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04021001406?

Median gross rent is $1,186/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04021001406?

26.3% of residents in tract 04021001406 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,414.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04021001406?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 94th, minority 81th, housing 95th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 04021001406 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 04021001406 compare to Casa Grande overall?

Tract 04021001406 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Casa Grande at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Casa Grande eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Casa Grande

Top eight tracts in Casa Grande ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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