Census Tract · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

Casa Grande Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04021001305 · Pinal, AZ · pop 6,692

With a score of 4.2/10, tract 04021001305 in Casa Grande, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,692. Against Pinal County at 37.6%, roughly one in four of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score

4.2

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 19% Owners 75%

Tract context

Occupied units2,364

Renter share25.8%

SVI overall0.85

Poverty rate6.7%

Median income$57,278

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Casa Grande and the region

Centroid at 32.9236, -111.7397 · click any tract to drill in

Why Casa Grande scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Casa Grande

4.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

6.7% poverty · this tract

1.7

Supply constraint

$1,212 rent vs county FMR

1.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Casa Grande

7.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Casa Grande

6.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Casa Grande

6.8

How Casa Grande compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

54%Socioeconomic
96%Household composition
65%Racial/ethnic minority
92%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.0%Housing insecurity
8.7%Utility-shutoff threat
18.4%Food insecurity
12.3%SNAP enrollment
9.2%Transit barriers
15.2%No health insurance
16.0%Frequent mental distress
36.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Casa Grande

The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.2/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.7/10.

On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10. Severe burden reaches 8%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Average gross rent is $1,212, 13% below the Casa Grande average.

On the national scale it lands near the 46th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the Pinal County average of 3.8 closely. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $57,278. 26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04021001305

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021001305?

Census tract 04021001305 in Casa Grande scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04021001305?

Median gross rent is $1,212/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04021001305?

6.7% of residents in tract 04021001305 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,692.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04021001305?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 96th, minority 65th, housing 92th.

What share of households in tract 04021001305 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04021001305 compare to Casa Grande overall?

Tract 04021001305 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Casa Grande at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Casa Grande eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Casa Grande

Top eight tracts in Casa Grande ranked by composite eviction-risk score.