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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Villago Eviction Risk: Moderate , Casa Grande

Tract 04021001308 · Pinal, AZ · pop 2,250 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 04021001308 in the Villago area of Casa Grande, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 23% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units684
Renter share46.6%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate19.2%
Median income$50,658

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Villago
Very High
Within parent city
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#5 of 15 tracts In Casa Grande
Elevated
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 95 tracts In Pinal
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#37 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Casa Grande and the region

Centroid at 32.9453, -111.7740 · click any tract to drill in

Why Villago scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Casa Grande
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
19.2% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$915 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Casa Grande
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Casa Grande
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Casa Grande
6.8

How Villago compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Villago risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 001308Casa Grande: 4.04.0Casa Grandeparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Villago. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Villago

Against Pinal County at 37.6%, 50% of renters here are cost-burdened. Average gross rent is $915, 34% below the Casa Grande average.

It sits 1.6 points above the Pinal County average of 3.8. 18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10.

SNAP participation runs 26.9% against 15.2% nationally. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 04021001308

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021001308?

Census tract 04021001308 in the Villago neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04021001308?

Median gross rent is $915/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04021001308?

19.2% of residents in tract 04021001308 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,250.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04021001308?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 98th, minority 73th, housing 71th.
Q5

Is tract 04021001308 considered part of Villago?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04021001308 fall within Villago (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04021001308 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04021001308 compare to Casa Grande overall?

Tract 04021001308 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Casa Grande at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Casa Grande eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Casa Grande

Top eight tracts in Casa Grande ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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