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Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Casa Grande Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04021001407 · Pinal, AZ · pop 1,768 · 82% of tract blocks fall in Casa Grande

Census tract 04021001407 covers part of Casa Grande, AZ, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,768. Against Pinal County at 37.6%, 63% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 8% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units703
Renter share22.0%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate19.4%
Median income$52,465

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 15 tracts In Casa Grande
Elevated
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 95 tracts In Pinal
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#37 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,859 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Casa Grande and the region

Centroid at 32.8535, -111.7036 · click any tract to drill in

Why Casa Grande scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Casa Grande
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
19.4% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,043 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Casa Grande
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Casa Grande
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Casa Grande
6.8

How Casa Grande compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Casa Grande risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 001407Casa Grande: 4.04.0Casa Grandeparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Casa Grande

Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. It sits 1.6 points above the Pinal County average of 3.8.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10. Average gross rent is $1,043, 25% below the Casa Grande average. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10.

The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.1% against 11.3% nationally. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04021001407

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021001407?

Census tract 04021001407 in Casa Grande scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04021001407?

Median gross rent is $1,043/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04021001407?

19.4% of residents in tract 04021001407 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,768.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04021001407?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 89th, minority 65th, housing 81th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 04021001407 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 04021001407 compare to Casa Grande overall?

Tract 04021001407 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Casa Grande at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Casa Grande eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Casa Grande

Top eight tracts in Casa Grande ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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