Within parent city
91
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #7,456 of 84,120 nationally
Fort Smith Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 05131000100 · Sebastian County, AR · pop 6,691
Eviction risk in Fort Smith eviction risk in Sebastian County centers on tract 05131000100, which scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 6,691 residents. That is riskier than roughly 21% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 37% of renter households, a high level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $805 monthly, set against $36,956 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,181
Renter share50.4%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate38.8%
Median income$36,956
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
95
th percentile
Very High
National
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fort Smith and the region
Centroid at 35.4154, -94.3723 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fort Smith scores 6.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fort Smith
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.2
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
38.8% poverty · this tract
9.7
Supply constraint
$805 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Smith
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Smith
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Smith
1.5
How Fort Smith compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 82%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 29.2%Housing insecurity
- 22.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 42.8%Food insecurity
- 32.0%SNAP enrollment
- 20.6%Transit barriers
- 26.0%No health insurance
- 22.6%Frequent mental distress
- 48.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fort Smith
What moves this score most is economic stress at 9.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fort Smith eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Sebastian County average of 4.0 and above the Arkansas statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 29.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 22.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 05131000100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05131000100?
Census tract 05131000100 in Fort Smith scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 05131000100?
Median gross rent is $805/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 05131000100?
38.8% of residents in tract 05131000100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,691.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 05131000100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 97th, minority 82th, housing 79th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 05131000100 struggle to pay rent?
About 29.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 05131000100 compare to Fort Smith overall?
Tract 05131000100 scores 6.5/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Smith at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Smith eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fort Smith
Top eight tracts in Fort Smith ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AR
05131000400
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
05131000501
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
05131000800
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
05131001001
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
South Fort Smith
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
05131000200
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
05131000300
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
South Fort Smith
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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