Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Fort Smith Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 05131000100 ·
Sebastian County, AR · pop 6,691
Census tract 05131000100 covers part of Fort Smith, AR, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,691 residents. Food insecurity runs 42.8% against 17.8% nationally.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%Stable renters 32%Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,181
Renter share50.4%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate38.8%
Median income$36,956
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
96th percentile
#2 of 23 tracts In Fort Smith
Very High
Within county
97th percentile
#2 of 31 tracts In Sebastian County
Very High
Within state
81th percentile
#159 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
High
National
53th percentile
#39,308 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fort Smith and the region
Centroid at 35.4154, -94.3723 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fort Smith scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fort Smith
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.2
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
38.8% poverty · this tract
9.7
Supply constraint
$805 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Smith
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Smith
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Smith
1.5
How Fort Smith compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
29.2%Housing insecurity
22.2%Utility-shutoff threat
42.8%Food insecurity
32.0%SNAP enrollment
20.6%Transit barriers
26.0%No health insurance
22.6%Frequent mental distress
48.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fort Smith
The dominant input is economic stress at 9.7/10. The poverty rate is 39%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Adults with no health insurance runs 26.0% against 11.3% nationally. Against the Sebastian County average of 3.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points.
At $805 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Fort Smith commands. Nationally it ranks #39,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.8/10.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 37% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 05131000100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05131000100?
Census tract 05131000100 in Fort Smith scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 05131000100?
Median gross rent is $805/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 05131000100?
38.8% of residents in tract 05131000100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,691.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 05131000100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 97th, minority 82th, housing 79th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 05131000100 struggle to pay rent?
About 29.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 05131000100 compare to Fort Smith overall?
Tract 05131000100 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Smith at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Smith eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fort Smith
Top eight tracts in Fort Smith ranked by composite eviction-risk score.