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Census Tract · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally

Fort Smith Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 05131000300 · Sebastian County, AR · pop 2,508

With a score of 4.4/10, tract 05131000300 in Fort Smith, AR reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,508 residents. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 30% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units877
Renter share52.2%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate23.7%
Median income$42,201

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 23 tracts In Fort Smith
Elevated
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#9 of 31 tracts In Sebastian County
Elevated
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#210 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
Elevated
National
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#42,813 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Smith and the region

Centroid at 35.3798, -94.4229 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fort Smith scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fort Smith
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.2
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
23.7% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$976 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Smith
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Smith
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Smith
1.5

How Fort Smith compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fort Smith risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.4This tracttract 0003003.2Fort Smithparent city3.6Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fort Smith

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, housing-court posture reads 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 20.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Adults with no health insurance runs 21.6% against 11.3% nationally.

10% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against the Sebastian County average of 3.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points.

Average gross rent is $976, 10% above the Fort Smith average. Nationally it ranks #42,813 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.7/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 42% of renters. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $42,201.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 05131000300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05131000300?

Census tract 05131000300 in Fort Smith scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 05131000300?

Median gross rent is $976/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 05131000300?

23.7% of residents in tract 05131000300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,508.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 05131000300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 97th, minority 78th, housing 82th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 05131000300 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 05131000300 compare to Fort Smith overall?

Tract 05131000300 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Smith at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Smith eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Smith

Top eight tracts in Fort Smith ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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