Within parent city
91
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Fort Smith Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 05131000800 · Sebastian County, AR · pop 4,138
Tract 05131000800 sits in Fort Smith eviction risk, AR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10. Population here is 4,138. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units1,862
Renter share64.4%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate28.6%
Median income$34,333
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
81
th percentile
High
National
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fort Smith and the region
Centroid at 35.3787, -94.4107 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fort Smith scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fort Smith
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.2
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
28.6% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$878 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Smith
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Smith
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Smith
1.5
How Fort Smith compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.7%Housing insecurity
- 15.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.3%Food insecurity
- 18.4%SNAP enrollment
- 13.8%Transit barriers
- 16.0%No health insurance
- 21.6%Frequent mental distress
- 41.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fort Smith
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Against Sebastian County at 38.9%, roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Running cool, housing-court posture reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 1.0 points above the Sebastian County average of 3.6.
Food insecurity runs 26.3% against 17.8% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.7/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Average gross rent is $878, close to the Fort Smith average. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $34,333.
64% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 05131000800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05131000800?
Census tract 05131000800 in Fort Smith scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 05131000800?
Median gross rent is $878/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 05131000800?
28.6% of residents in tract 05131000800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,138.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 05131000800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 78th, minority 60th, housing 98th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 05131000800 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 05131000800 compare to Fort Smith overall?
Tract 05131000800 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Smith at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Smith eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fort Smith
Top eight tracts in Fort Smith ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AR
05131001001
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
South Fort Smith
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
05131000100
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
05131000400
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
05131000501
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
05131000200
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
05131000300
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
05131000502
4
/ 10 · Moderate
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