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Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Fort Smith Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 05131000501 · Sebastian County, AR · pop 5,506

05131000501 is a census tract in Fort Smith, AR. It scores 4.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,506 residents. Against Sebastian County at 38.9%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 20% Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,763
Renter share45.3%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate37.4%
Median income$35,754

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 23 tracts In Fort Smith
Very High
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#6 of 31 tracts In Sebastian County
High
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#159 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
High
National
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#39,308 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Smith and the region

Centroid at 35.3943, -94.3916 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fort Smith scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fort Smith
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.2
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
37.4% poverty · this tract
9.4
Supply constraint
$685 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Smith
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Smith
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Smith
1.5

How Fort Smith compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fort Smith risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0005013.2Fort Smithparent city3.6Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fort Smith

Food insecurity runs 46.7% against 17.8% nationally. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.4/10.

The poverty rate is 37%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 24.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $685, 23% below the Fort Smith average.

Against the Sebastian County average of 3.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $35,754.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 05131000501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05131000501?

Census tract 05131000501 in Fort Smith scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 05131000501?

Median gross rent is $685/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 05131000501?

37.4% of residents in tract 05131000501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,506.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 05131000501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 97th, minority 73th, housing 37th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 05131000501 struggle to pay rent?

About 32.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 05131000501 compare to Fort Smith overall?

Tract 05131000501 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Smith at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Smith eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Smith

Top eight tracts in Fort Smith ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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