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Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Fort Smith Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 05131000400 · Sebastian County, AR · pop 3,097

With a score of 4.6/10, tract 05131000400 in Fort Smith, AR reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,097 residents. 42% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 26% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units1,268
Renter share54.1%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate35.5%
Median income$29,842

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 23 tracts In Fort Smith
High
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 31 tracts In Sebastian County
High
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#159 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
High
National
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#39,308 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Smith and the region

Centroid at 35.3932, -94.4057 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fort Smith scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fort Smith
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.2
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
35.5% poverty · this tract
8.9
Supply constraint
$931 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Smith
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Smith
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Smith
1.5

How Fort Smith compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fort Smith risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0004003.2Fort Smithparent city3.6Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fort Smith

Food insecurity runs 45.6% against 17.8% nationally. roughly one in two of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Sebastian County average of 38.9%.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. The poverty rate is 35%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $29,842, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 8.9/10.

Housing insecurity runs 32.3% against 14.2% nationally. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Against the Sebastian County average of 3.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. Nationally it ranks #39,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 05131000400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05131000400?

Census tract 05131000400 in Fort Smith scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 05131000400?

Median gross rent is $931/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 05131000400?

35.5% of residents in tract 05131000400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,097.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 05131000400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 93th, minority 79th, housing 60th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 05131000400 struggle to pay rent?

About 32.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 05131000400 compare to Fort Smith overall?

Tract 05131000400 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Smith at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Smith eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Smith

Top eight tracts in Fort Smith ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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