Within parent city
77
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Fort Smith Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 05131001001 · Sebastian County, AR · pop 4,403
Census tract 05131001001 covers part of Fort Smith, AR, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,403. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units2,100
Renter share63.5%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate27.1%
Median income$37,444
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
90
th percentile
Very High
Within state
81
th percentile
High
National
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fort Smith and the region
Centroid at 35.3641, -94.4128 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fort Smith scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fort Smith
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.2
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
27.1% poverty · this tract
6.8
Supply constraint
$867 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Smith
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Smith
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Smith
1.5
How Fort Smith compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.2%Housing insecurity
- 13.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.2%Food insecurity
- 16.0%SNAP enrollment
- 12.4%Transit barriers
- 13.6%No health insurance
- 22.0%Frequent mental distress
- 40.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fort Smith
Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 1.5/10.
The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 1.0 points above the Sebastian County average of 3.6.
On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 8.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
42% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Average gross rent is $867, close to the Fort Smith average.
Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $37,444. 63% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 05131001001
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05131001001?
Census tract 05131001001 in Fort Smith scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 05131001001?
Median gross rent is $867/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 05131001001?
27.1% of residents in tract 05131001001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,403.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 05131001001?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 80th, minority 46th, housing 87th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 05131001001 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 05131001001 compare to Fort Smith overall?
Tract 05131001001 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Smith at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Smith eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fort Smith
Top eight tracts in Fort Smith ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AR
05131000100
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
05131000400
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
05131000501
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
05131000800
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
South Fort Smith
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
05131000200
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
05131000300
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
05131000502
4
/ 10 · Moderate
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