Within parent city
73
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Fort Smith Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 05131000200 · Sebastian County, AR · pop 5,360
Tract 05131000200 sits in Fort Smith eviction risk, AR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.5/10. Population here is 5,360. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,941
Renter share56.8%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate24.5%
Median income$47,121
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
77
th percentile
High
National
51
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fort Smith and the region
Centroid at 35.4208, -94.4096 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fort Smith scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fort Smith
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.2
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
24.5% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$842 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Smith
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Smith
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Smith
1.5
How Fort Smith compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 59%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 26.0%Housing insecurity
- 18.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 35.8%Food insecurity
- 24.0%SNAP enrollment
- 17.2%Transit barriers
- 23.9%No health insurance
- 22.2%Frequent mental distress
- 44.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fort Smith
Food insecurity runs 35.8% against 17.8% nationally. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
On the softer side, housing-court posture reads 1.5/10. Disability prevalence runs 44.5% against 31.5% nationally. The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Severe burden reaches 12%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against Sebastian County at 38.9%, 34% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Against the Sebastian County average of 3.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 9.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 05131000200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05131000200?
Census tract 05131000200 in Fort Smith scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 05131000200?
Median gross rent is $842/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 05131000200?
24.5% of residents in tract 05131000200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,360.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 05131000200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 99th, minority 78th, housing 59th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 05131000200 struggle to pay rent?
About 26.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 05131000200 compare to Fort Smith overall?
Tract 05131000200 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Smith at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Smith eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fort Smith
Top eight tracts in Fort Smith ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AR
05131000800
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
05131001001
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
South Fort Smith
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
05131000100
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
05131000400
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
05131000501
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
05131000300
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
05131000502
4
/ 10 · Moderate
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